Minnesota may have the best two skill players in football. Mike Zimmer is not a good coach for these times and with this team. Salfino: I actually think the Vikings are dangerous, and I’m not saying this for Sara’s benefit. One of those crappy teams basically has to make it as the seventh NFC team in. WFT has the same record as the Eagles, Vikings, Saints and Falcons. Neil: The bottom of the NFC playoff picture is so mediocre that somehow they’re not totally out of it, though. Salfino: Change their name to Just Another Football Team. Joshua.hermsmeyer: As for Washington, they are just another football team that’s (probably) not in the playoffs this year. Dak has been ALL over the place recently. That pick six was disgusting.ĭak throws a pick six at a bad time. Dak Prescott doesn’t look right since his calf injury - he’s not sharp at all. I thought WFT had a good chance to win the game, but the game was not as close as the score and ending indicated, IMO.ĭallas’ offense isn’t dangerous now. Salfino: It was like the clock struck midnight on Taylor Heinicke. Neil: Yes, they were up 24-0, and then ended up being in a position to potentially give up a tying TD on Washington’s final drive. Joshua.hermsmeyer: I mean, early it looked pretty bad too! After exchanging turnovers, the Cowboys finally got going, and then they turned into a bit of a pumpkin there again at the end. It looked like it would be early, but Washington fought back. Neil: I was on the Cowboys hype train early in the season, but that was not a convincing win by any means. Is Washington’s goose cooked? Does Dallas have what it takes to get to the Super Bowl? But the movement here was really all Washington’s: With its loss, Football Team’s playoffs odds dropped 24 percentage points to just 27 percent, while the Cowboys moved only 2 points to a virtual lock at over 99 percent. Sara.ziegler: Well, let’s talk about the game Parsons was in! The Dallas-Washington matchup had all the pettiness we’ve come to expect from the NFC East, along with tough defense and a third-string quarterback. Salfino: You have to wonder why Parsons ever was an off-ball linebacker. Using an off-ball linebacker like an edge defender made the pick well worth it. Joshua.hermsmeyer: Parsons has been a revelation. Neil: And Micah Parsons also had himself a day! Great Sunday for dominant defenders. His strip sack/fumble recovery/touchdown single-handedly kept the Browns’ season alive. Joshua.hermsmeyer: I think my money is on Myles Garrett. Nick Bosa may be the best defensive player in football though. Salfino: The Niners are undermanned in the secondary and have to figure something out. The defense just isn’t anywhere near as good. That year they were eighth in schedule-adjusted expected points added per game in passing and sixth in rushing. So I would argue with their playoff odds.Īnyway, I think offensively the Niners have rediscovered much of their formula from their Super Bowl season two years ago. Salfino ( Michael Salfino, FiveThirtyEight contributor): I feel better about the Bengals after the loss than I felt before the game, especially given the developments in Baltimore and with Cleveland’s continued inability to manufacture a passing offense. They still have to play Baltimore and the Browns in the next four weeks, so if they win those games, they have a 64 percent chance to win the division, and 79 percent chance to make the playoffs. Joshua.hermsmeyer ( Josh Hermsmeyer, NFL analyst): The Bengals still have a shot at this point in the AFC North. After that rough start, I don’t think anyone thought they would have a 76 percent playoff chance at this point of the season. They went from 2-4 early to winning five of their past seven. Neil ( Neil Paine, senior sportswriter): Good for the Niners to stay in the fight and keep punching even when things looked dire in a rough division. What do you all make of Sunday’s game - and of either team’s chances? These two teams have to be among the most difficult to figure out all year. With their win, the 49ers climbed 14 percentage points in our playoff odds to 76 percent, while the Bengals fell 15 points to 29 percent. Let’s start with the biggest mover of those three, San Francisco and Cincinnati. All of those games also featured furious comeback attempts, making the outcome all the more exciting. Three games gave us combined swings in playoff probability for the two teams involved - according to the FiveThirtyEight model, naturally - of more than 20 percent: 49ers-Bengals, Cowboys-Football Team and Ravens-Browns. Sara.ziegler ( Sara Ziegler, sports editor): Fortunes swung wildly during Week 14 of the NFL season, with a few games making a big dent in some teams’ playoff hopes while boosting others.
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